oscar predictions 2011

After months and months of speculation about who and which films would get nominated for and nab award season’s biggest prize, The Oscars are 5 days away.

While not as much as last year’s winners, there are a number of strong locks this year. Colin Firth will without a doubt take home an Oscar for his portrayal of King George VI, as will Aaron Sorkin for his incredibly sharp script for The Social Network. Both Firth and Sorkin have won virtually every award they’ve been eligible for this awards season and will continue their streak Sunday night.

Despite winning the majority of Best Supporting Actress awards this season, Melissa Leo’s chances at the Oscars have somewhat declined over the past couple of weeks (perhaps due to the fact that she released her own campaign ads), and it looks like True Grit’s Hailee Steinfeld has a decent shot at an upset.

Here are my predictions:

BEST PICTURE
Nominees: 127 Hours, Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception, The Kids Are All Right, The King’s Speech, The Social Network, Toy Story 3, True Grit, Winter’s Bone

What will win: The King’s Speech
Possible Upset: The Social Network

BEST ACTOR
Nominees: Javier Bardem for Biutiful, Jeff Bridges for True Grit, Jesse Eisenberg for The Social Network, Colin Firth for The King’s Speech, James Franco for 127 Hours

Who will win: Colin Firth
Possible Upset: Are you kidding me?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Nominees: Christian Bale for The Fighter, John Hawkes for Winter’s Bone, Jeremy Renner for The Town, Mark Ruffalo for The Kids Are All Right, Geoffrey Rush for The King’s Speech

Who will win: Christian Bale
Possible Upset: Geoffrey Rush

BEST ACTRESS
Nominees: Annette Bening for The Kids Are All Right, Nicole Kidman for Rabbit Hole, Jennifer Lawrence for Winter’s Bone, Natalie Portman for Black Swan, Michelle Williams for Blue Valentine

Who will win: Natalie Portman
Possible Upset: Annette Benning

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Nominees: Amy Adams for The Fighter, Helena Bonham Carter for The King’s Speech, Melissa Leo for The Fighter, Hailee Steinfeld for True Grit, Jacki Weaver for Animal Kingdom

Who will win: Melissa Leo
Possible Upsets: 1) Hailee Steinfeld, 2) Helena Bonham Carter

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Nominees: How to Train Your Dragon, The Illusionist, Toy Story 3

Who will win: Toy Story 3
Possible Upset: Seriously…

BEST DIRECTOR
Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan, Joel & Ethan Coen for True Grit, David Fincher for The Social Network, Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech, David O. Russell for The Fighter

Who will win: David Fincher
Possible Upset: Tom Hooper

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Nominees: Another Year written by Mike Leigh, The Fighter Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson; Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson, Inception written by Christopher Nolan, The Kids Are All Right written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg, The King’s Speech Screenplay by David Seidler

Who will win: The King’s Speech
Possible Upset: Inception

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY/
Nominees: 127 Hours Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy, The Social Network Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin, Toy Story 3 Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich, True Grit written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen, Winter’s Bone adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

Who will win: The Social Network – Aaron Sorkin
Possible Upset: no one else has a shot.

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