Category Archives: Oscars

oscar predictions 2014!

12-years-a-slave

I’m baaaaaaack! Here are my predictions for the top 10 categories. I’ll be posting my predictions for the other 14 categories during my liveblog Sunday night.

BEST PICTURE
Will win: 12 Years a Slave
Very Possible upset: Gravity
Dark Horse: American Hustle

Should Win: Her (Although I’d be  happy with either 12 Years a Slave or Gravity)

BEST ACTRESS
Will win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Possible upset: Amy Adams for American Hustle

Should win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine (Great performance, frustrating film)

BEST ACTOR

Will win: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club
Possible upset: Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave
Dark Horse: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Wolf of Wall Street

Should Win: Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave
Possible upset: Jennifer Lawrence for American Hustle

Should Win: Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
Possible upset: Michael Fassbender  for 12 Years a Slave
Dark Horse: Barkhad Abdi for Captain Phillips

Should Win: Michael Fassbender  for 12 Years a Slave (Although I’ll be happy if/when Leto wins)

BEST DIRECTOR

Will win: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity
Possible upset: Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
Dark Horse: David O. Russell for American Hustle

Should win: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: 12 Years a Slave
Possible upset: Philomena

Should win: Before Midnight

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Best Original Screenplay is the toughest major category this year. While Her has racked up numerous screenplay awards this year, Academy members may vote for David O. Russell  to prevent the very likely possibility that American Hustle leaves the Oscars empty handed tomorrow night. It could really go either way.

Will win: Her
Very Possible upset: American Hustle

Should win: Her

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Will win: Frozen
Possible upset: The Wind Rises
Dark Horse: Despicable Me 2

Should win: Frozen

BEST FOREIGN FEATURE

Will win: The Great Beauty
Possible upset: The Broken Circle Breakdown
Dark Horse: The Hunt

Should win: The Hunt

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oscar predictions 2013

lincoln

Here are my predictions for the major categories. I’ll be posting my predictions for the other categories on the liveblog!

BEST PICTURE
Will win: “Argo”
Possible upset: “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: “Silver Linings Playbook”

BEST ACTRESS

This category is still pretty much up in the air. For a while it seemed like a J-Law J-Cha race, but don’t be surprised if Riva, the oldest nominee (ever!) for Best Actress sneaks in and takes the award.

Will win: Jennifer Lawrence for “Silver Linings Playbook”
Possible upset: Jessica Chastain for “Zero Dark Thirty”
Dark Horse: Emmanuelle Riva for “Amour”

BEST ACTOR
Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis for “Lincoln”
Possible upset: Daniel Day-Lewis for “Lincoln” (If anyone had a glimmer of a chance it would be Hugh Jackman)
Dark Horse: Daniel Day-Lewis for “Lincoln”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Anne Hathaway for “Les Miserables”
Possible upset: Sally Field for “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: Helen Hunt for “The Sessions”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

This category is the biggest unknown this year. I’d say all nominees except Arkin have a serious shot at winning.

Will win: Robert De Niro for “Silver Linings Playbook”
Possible upset: Tommy Lee Jones for “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: Christoph Waltz for “Django Unchained”

BEST DIRECTOR

While Argo has the most momentum going for Best Picture, it’s director Ben Affleck was not nominated for Best Director which leaves this category up in the air. Ang Lee might win his second Oscar for his beautiful adaptation of Life of Pi, a book many thought would struggle to translate on film. Spielberg could also be applauded for his restrained directing for Lincoln.

Will win: Ang Lee for “Life of Pi”
Possible upset: Steven Spielberg for “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: Michael Haneke for “Amour”

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: “Argo”
Possible upset: “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: “Silver Linings Playbook”

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win: “Amour”
Possible upset: “Zero Dark Thirty”
Dark Horse: “Django Unchained”

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Will win: “Wreck-It Ralph”
Possible upset: “Brave”
Dark Horse: “Frankenweenie”

BEST FOREIGN FEATURE

This one is a no brainer.

Will win: “Amour”
Possible upset: “Amour”
Dark Horse: “Amour”

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the oscars: who won?

BEST PICTURE Winner: The Artist

BEST ACTOR Winner: Jean Dujardin, The Artist

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Winner: Christopher Plummer, Beginners

BEST ACTRESS Winner: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Winner: Octavia Spencer, The Help

BEST ANIMATED FILM Winner: Rango

BEST DIRECTOR Winner: Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Winner: Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Winner: The Descendants — Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash

BEST FOREIGN FILM Winner: A Separation

I predicted 9/10 of the big awards and 19/24 over all correctly. Not too shabby (I also may have won Vassar’s Oscar pool…)!  The only major prediction I got wrong was Meryl Streep’s win – I predicted, as most people probably did, that Viola Davis  would win for The Help, while I did note that Meryl was the possible upset. Thanks again to those who tuned into my LiveBlog –  it means the world to me. I hope you enjoyed Oscar night!

Here’s a link to a list of all of the winners

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here we go: liveblogging take two!

Click the link below to follow along with my liveblog of the Oscars. I have a concert tonight until 8:30 (I’ll miss the red carpet) so I actually wasn’t planning on doing the liveblog this year but I’ve had a lot of requests!

The liveblog is up!!

Click here to go to the liveblog!

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oscar predictions 2012

After 9 months of laziness, I’m back and super excited for the Oscars! Only two more days! While the Best Picture, Director and the Supporting Actor and Actress categories are practically set in stone, there is still some heavy competition in the other catagories. For example if you had asked me a month ago who I thought would win Best Actor, I would have said George Clooney – no question. But after the SAGs and Golden Globes, The Artist‘s Jean Dujardin is a serious contender.

Here are my predictions for the 10 biggest awards:

BEST PICTURE
Nominees: The Artist, The Descendants, Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close, The Help, Hugo, Midnight in Paris, Moneyball, The Tree of Life, War Horse

What will win: The Artist
Possible Upset: The Help

BEST ACTOR
Nominees: Demián Bichir for A Better Life, George Clooney for The Descendants, Jean Dujardin for The Artist, Gary Oldman for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Brad Pitt for Moneyball

Who will win: Jean Dujardin 
(Very) Possible Upset: George Clooney

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Nominees: Kenneth Branagh for My Week with Marilyn, Jonah Hill for Moneyball, Nick Nolte for Warrior, Christopher Plummer for Beginners, Max von Sydow for Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

Who will win: Christopher Plummer
Possible Upset: Are you kidding me?

BEST ACTRESS
Nominees: Glenn Close for Albert Nobbs, Viola Davis for The Help, Rooney Mara for The Girl with the Dragon TattooMeryl Streep for The Iron Lady, Michelle Williams for My Week with Marilyn

Who will win: Viola Davis
Possible Upset: Meryl Streep

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Nominees: Bérénice Bejo for The Artist, Jessica Chastain for The Help, Melissa McCarthy for Bridesmaids, Janet McTeer for Albert Nobbs, Octavia Spencer for The Help

Who will win: Octavia Spencer
Possible Upsets: Melissa McCarthy

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Nominees: A Cat in Paris, Chico & Rita, Kung Fu Panda 2, Puss in Boots, Rango

Who will win: Rango
Possible Upset: Tin Tin? Oh wait…

BEST DIRECTOR
Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist, Alexander Payne for The Descendants, Martin Scorsese for Hugo, Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris, Terrence Malick for The Tree of Life

Who will win: Michel Hazanavicius
Possible Upset: Martin Scorsese

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Nominees: The Artist written by Michel Hazanavicius, Bridesmaids written by Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig, Margin Call written by J.C. Chandor, Midnight in Paris written by Woody Allen, A Separation written by Asghar Farhadi

Who will win: Midnight in Paris
Possible Upset: The Artist

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Nominees: The Descendants Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash, Hugo Screenplay by John Logan, The Ides of March Screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslove and Beau Willimon, Moneyball Screenplay by Steven Zailian and Aaron Sorkin; Story by Stan Chervin, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy Screenplay by Bridget O’Connor & Peter Straughan

Who will win: The Descendants – Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
Possible Upset: Hugo – John Logan

BEST FOREIGN FILM
Nominees: Bullhead (Belgium), Monsieur Lazhar (Canada), A Separation (Iran), Footnote (Israel), In Darkness (Poland)

Who will win: A Separation
Possible Upset: Monsieur Lazhar 

Who do you think will win? Who do you want to win? Check out the rest of my predictions after the jump.

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great actor, bad reputation

In the past 24 hours I’ve finally completed my goal of watching all 10 of this years Academy Award nominees for Best Picture (I had yet to watch The Fighter and embarrassingly, The King’s Speech). During this awards season, I began to root less and less for Melissa Leo –  the more awards she racked up, the more awkward and sometime inappropriate acceptance speeches she gave. Then she made matters worse after she released her own controversial “For Your Consideration” ads using strange, posed photos of her in a glittery evening gown and a fur coat. To me she seemed incredibly self centered, tasteless, and just plain obnoxious. Luckily the ads didn’t hurt her chances at the Oscars (she nabbed the award for Best Supporting Actress). But Leo’s biggest slip up occurred when she dropped an F-bomb in the middle of her speech – the first time any winner had done so when accepting an Oscar. I could not have disliked her less and did not feel that great about her win.

Then I watched The Fighter. Leo is nothing short of brilliant in her role as manager mum to the underdog welterweight boxer Micky Ward (played by underrated Mark Wahlberg). She is a force to be reckoned with, as an overbearing woman who’s hard as nails attitude and love for her sons makes her blind to their own sufferings. I loved her performance and now think she totally deserves her Oscar. But it’s still amazing how much I dislike her in real life! Anyway, I wonder how other people feel about great actors who have pretty bad reputations (Russel Crowe, Alec Baldwin and heck, even Leo’s fantastic co-star and Oscar winner Christian Bale come to mind). Does it bother you that people with such obnoxious personalities still achieve acclaim? How easy is it to ignore their rocky personal lives when they’re on film – especially when attempting to portray a likable character?

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film review: inside job

While on the plane ride home for spring break I finally was able to watch Inside Job, this year’s Best Documentary winner at the Oscars. The documentary is about the 2008 financial crisis. Don’t understand how the economy got so bad? Or how Wall Street was able to get away with massive fraud for so long? then this is the film for you. I’ll be honest, as someone who took the lowest math level in high school, the ecomonics jargon was a bit confusing but the film’s incredible detail regarding the cause, conflict and aftermath of the crisis, makes it well worth a watch. What’s most mindblowing is the number of people who knew what was going on, but were so blinded by greed to do anything about it. The best interviews are with former Governor of New York Eliot Spitzer and Kristen M. Davis, former madam to Wall Street.

Oh, and Matt Damon’s narrating voice is just delightful.

Directed by Charles Ferguson

5/5

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