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oscar predictions 2014!

12-years-a-slave

I’m baaaaaaack! Here are my predictions for the top 10 categories. I’ll be posting my predictions for the other 14 categories during my liveblog Sunday night.

BEST PICTURE
Will win: 12 Years a Slave
Very Possible upset: Gravity
Dark Horse: American Hustle

Should Win: Her (Although I’d be  happy with either 12 Years a Slave or Gravity)

BEST ACTRESS
Will win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
Possible upset: Amy Adams for American Hustle

Should win: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine (Great performance, frustrating film)

BEST ACTOR

Will win: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club
Possible upset: Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave
Dark Horse: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Wolf of Wall Street

Should Win: Chiwetel Ejiofor for 12 Years a Slave

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave
Possible upset: Jennifer Lawrence for American Hustle

Should Win: Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
Possible upset: Michael Fassbender  for 12 Years a Slave
Dark Horse: Barkhad Abdi for Captain Phillips

Should Win: Michael Fassbender  for 12 Years a Slave (Although I’ll be happy if/when Leto wins)

BEST DIRECTOR

Will win: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity
Possible upset: Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
Dark Horse: David O. Russell for American Hustle

Should win: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: 12 Years a Slave
Possible upset: Philomena

Should win: Before Midnight

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Best Original Screenplay is the toughest major category this year. While Her has racked up numerous screenplay awards this year, Academy members may vote for David O. Russell  to prevent the very likely possibility that American Hustle leaves the Oscars empty handed tomorrow night. It could really go either way.

Will win: Her
Very Possible upset: American Hustle

Should win: Her

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Will win: Frozen
Possible upset: The Wind Rises
Dark Horse: Despicable Me 2

Should win: Frozen

BEST FOREIGN FEATURE

Will win: The Great Beauty
Possible upset: The Broken Circle Breakdown
Dark Horse: The Hunt

Should win: The Hunt

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oscar predictions 2013

lincoln

Here are my predictions for the major categories. I’ll be posting my predictions for the other categories on the liveblog!

BEST PICTURE
Will win: “Argo”
Possible upset: “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: “Silver Linings Playbook”

BEST ACTRESS

This category is still pretty much up in the air. For a while it seemed like a J-Law J-Cha race, but don’t be surprised if Riva, the oldest nominee (ever!) for Best Actress sneaks in and takes the award.

Will win: Jennifer Lawrence for “Silver Linings Playbook”
Possible upset: Jessica Chastain for “Zero Dark Thirty”
Dark Horse: Emmanuelle Riva for “Amour”

BEST ACTOR
Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis for “Lincoln”
Possible upset: Daniel Day-Lewis for “Lincoln” (If anyone had a glimmer of a chance it would be Hugh Jackman)
Dark Horse: Daniel Day-Lewis for “Lincoln”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Anne Hathaway for “Les Miserables”
Possible upset: Sally Field for “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: Helen Hunt for “The Sessions”

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

This category is the biggest unknown this year. I’d say all nominees except Arkin have a serious shot at winning.

Will win: Robert De Niro for “Silver Linings Playbook”
Possible upset: Tommy Lee Jones for “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: Christoph Waltz for “Django Unchained”

BEST DIRECTOR

While Argo has the most momentum going for Best Picture, it’s director Ben Affleck was not nominated for Best Director which leaves this category up in the air. Ang Lee might win his second Oscar for his beautiful adaptation of Life of Pi, a book many thought would struggle to translate on film. Spielberg could also be applauded for his restrained directing for Lincoln.

Will win: Ang Lee for “Life of Pi”
Possible upset: Steven Spielberg for “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: Michael Haneke for “Amour”

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: “Argo”
Possible upset: “Lincoln”
Dark Horse: “Silver Linings Playbook”

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win: “Amour”
Possible upset: “Zero Dark Thirty”
Dark Horse: “Django Unchained”

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Will win: “Wreck-It Ralph”
Possible upset: “Brave”
Dark Horse: “Frankenweenie”

BEST FOREIGN FEATURE

This one is a no brainer.

Will win: “Amour”
Possible upset: “Amour”
Dark Horse: “Amour”

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the oscars: who won?

BEST PICTURE Winner: The Artist

BEST ACTOR Winner: Jean Dujardin, The Artist

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Winner: Christopher Plummer, Beginners

BEST ACTRESS Winner: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Winner: Octavia Spencer, The Help

BEST ANIMATED FILM Winner: Rango

BEST DIRECTOR Winner: Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Winner: Midnight in Paris – Woody Allen

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Winner: The Descendants — Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon, and Jim Rash

BEST FOREIGN FILM Winner: A Separation

I predicted 9/10 of the big awards and 19/24 over all correctly. Not too shabby (I also may have won Vassar’s Oscar pool…)!  The only major prediction I got wrong was Meryl Streep’s win – I predicted, as most people probably did, that Viola Davis  would win for The Help, while I did note that Meryl was the possible upset. Thanks again to those who tuned into my LiveBlog –  it means the world to me. I hope you enjoyed Oscar night!

Here’s a link to a list of all of the winners

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oscar predictions 2012

After 9 months of laziness, I’m back and super excited for the Oscars! Only two more days! While the Best Picture, Director and the Supporting Actor and Actress categories are practically set in stone, there is still some heavy competition in the other catagories. For example if you had asked me a month ago who I thought would win Best Actor, I would have said George Clooney – no question. But after the SAGs and Golden Globes, The Artist‘s Jean Dujardin is a serious contender.

Here are my predictions for the 10 biggest awards:

BEST PICTURE
Nominees: The Artist, The Descendants, Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close, The Help, Hugo, Midnight in Paris, Moneyball, The Tree of Life, War Horse

What will win: The Artist
Possible Upset: The Help

BEST ACTOR
Nominees: Demián Bichir for A Better Life, George Clooney for The Descendants, Jean Dujardin for The Artist, Gary Oldman for Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy, Brad Pitt for Moneyball

Who will win: Jean Dujardin 
(Very) Possible Upset: George Clooney

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Nominees: Kenneth Branagh for My Week with Marilyn, Jonah Hill for Moneyball, Nick Nolte for Warrior, Christopher Plummer for Beginners, Max von Sydow for Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close

Who will win: Christopher Plummer
Possible Upset: Are you kidding me?

BEST ACTRESS
Nominees: Glenn Close for Albert Nobbs, Viola Davis for The Help, Rooney Mara for The Girl with the Dragon TattooMeryl Streep for The Iron Lady, Michelle Williams for My Week with Marilyn

Who will win: Viola Davis
Possible Upset: Meryl Streep

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Nominees: Bérénice Bejo for The Artist, Jessica Chastain for The Help, Melissa McCarthy for Bridesmaids, Janet McTeer for Albert Nobbs, Octavia Spencer for The Help

Who will win: Octavia Spencer
Possible Upsets: Melissa McCarthy

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Nominees: A Cat in Paris, Chico & Rita, Kung Fu Panda 2, Puss in Boots, Rango

Who will win: Rango
Possible Upset: Tin Tin? Oh wait…

BEST DIRECTOR
Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist, Alexander Payne for The Descendants, Martin Scorsese for Hugo, Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris, Terrence Malick for The Tree of Life

Who will win: Michel Hazanavicius
Possible Upset: Martin Scorsese

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Nominees: The Artist written by Michel Hazanavicius, Bridesmaids written by Annie Mumolo & Kristen Wiig, Margin Call written by J.C. Chandor, Midnight in Paris written by Woody Allen, A Separation written by Asghar Farhadi

Who will win: Midnight in Paris
Possible Upset: The Artist

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Nominees: The Descendants Screenplay by Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash, Hugo Screenplay by John Logan, The Ides of March Screenplay by George Clooney & Grant Heslove and Beau Willimon, Moneyball Screenplay by Steven Zailian and Aaron Sorkin; Story by Stan Chervin, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy Screenplay by Bridget O’Connor & Peter Straughan

Who will win: The Descendants – Alexander Payne and Nat Faxon & Jim Rash
Possible Upset: Hugo – John Logan

BEST FOREIGN FILM
Nominees: Bullhead (Belgium), Monsieur Lazhar (Canada), A Separation (Iran), Footnote (Israel), In Darkness (Poland)

Who will win: A Separation
Possible Upset: Monsieur Lazhar 

Who do you think will win? Who do you want to win? Check out the rest of my predictions after the jump.

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the oscars: how’d I do?

BEST PICTURE Winner: The King’s Speech

BEST ACTOR Winner: Colin Firth

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Winner: Christian Bale

BEST ACTRESS Winner: Natalie Portman

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Winner: Melissa Leo

BEST ANIMATED FILM Winner: Toy Story 3

BEST DIRECTOR Winner: Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Winner: The King’s Speech – David Seidler

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Winner: The Social NetworkAaron Sorkin

8/9! Not bad! The only prediction I got wrong was Best Director (I predicted David Fincher would win for The Social Network, while noted Tom Hooper as the possible upset). Thanks again to those who tuned into my LiveBlog –  it means the world to me. I hope you enjoyed Oscar night!

Here’s a link to a list of all of the winners and nominees

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oscar predictions 2011

After months and months of speculation about who and which films would get nominated for and nab award season’s biggest prize, The Oscars are 5 days away.

While not as much as last year’s winners, there are a number of strong locks this year. Colin Firth will without a doubt take home an Oscar for his portrayal of King George VI, as will Aaron Sorkin for his incredibly sharp script for The Social Network. Both Firth and Sorkin have won virtually every award they’ve been eligible for this awards season and will continue their streak Sunday night.

Despite winning the majority of Best Supporting Actress awards this season, Melissa Leo’s chances at the Oscars have somewhat declined over the past couple of weeks (perhaps due to the fact that she released her own campaign ads), and it looks like True Grit’s Hailee Steinfeld has a decent shot at an upset.

Here are my predictions:

BEST PICTURE
Nominees: 127 Hours, Black Swan, The Fighter, Inception, The Kids Are All Right, The King’s Speech, The Social Network, Toy Story 3, True Grit, Winter’s Bone

What will win: The King’s Speech
Possible Upset: The Social Network

BEST ACTOR
Nominees: Javier Bardem for Biutiful, Jeff Bridges for True Grit, Jesse Eisenberg for The Social Network, Colin Firth for The King’s Speech, James Franco for 127 Hours

Who will win: Colin Firth
Possible Upset: Are you kidding me?

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Nominees: Christian Bale for The Fighter, John Hawkes for Winter’s Bone, Jeremy Renner for The Town, Mark Ruffalo for The Kids Are All Right, Geoffrey Rush for The King’s Speech

Who will win: Christian Bale
Possible Upset: Geoffrey Rush

BEST ACTRESS
Nominees: Annette Bening for The Kids Are All Right, Nicole Kidman for Rabbit Hole, Jennifer Lawrence for Winter’s Bone, Natalie Portman for Black Swan, Michelle Williams for Blue Valentine

Who will win: Natalie Portman
Possible Upset: Annette Benning

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Nominees: Amy Adams for The Fighter, Helena Bonham Carter for The King’s Speech, Melissa Leo for The Fighter, Hailee Steinfeld for True Grit, Jacki Weaver for Animal Kingdom

Who will win: Melissa Leo
Possible Upsets: 1) Hailee Steinfeld, 2) Helena Bonham Carter

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Nominees: How to Train Your Dragon, The Illusionist, Toy Story 3

Who will win: Toy Story 3
Possible Upset: Seriously…

BEST DIRECTOR
Darren Aronofsky for Black Swan, Joel & Ethan Coen for True Grit, David Fincher for The Social Network, Tom Hooper for The King’s Speech, David O. Russell for The Fighter

Who will win: David Fincher
Possible Upset: Tom Hooper

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Nominees: Another Year written by Mike Leigh, The Fighter Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson; Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson, Inception written by Christopher Nolan, The Kids Are All Right written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg, The King’s Speech Screenplay by David Seidler

Who will win: The King’s Speech
Possible Upset: Inception

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY/
Nominees: 127 Hours Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy, The Social Network Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin, Toy Story 3 Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich, True Grit written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen, Winter’s Bone adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

Who will win: The Social Network – Aaron Sorkin
Possible Upset: no one else has a shot.

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